Match 10 IPL 2017 (2017-04-12) @ Mumbai (WS)
The matches between these two teams the last 3 seasons are tied at 3 a piece. Last season SRH won both fixtures between the two sides.
The Sunrisers come off the back of winning 2 from 2 at home. Last season they won 6 of their 10 away matches so they are strangers to winning on the road. The Sunrisers are top rated in the Cricsq T20 team ratings. They are rated 109 points.
Mumbai are rated two places behind SRH in third on 92 points in the Cricsq ranking. They won their second match due to some power hitting from Hardik Pandya to chase down KKR's 178. They would have chased the score down more easily had it not been for unlucky decisions against Rohit Sharm and Jos Buttler.
The Mumbai pitch has historically favored neither chasing nor setting a total. However, all 4 matches last year and 1 match this year resulted in chasing team winning. The highest score achieved by the team batting first was 178 by KKR on Sunday. The relatively low scores achieved might be the reason for the chasing team's recent statistics rather than any change in the pitch bias.
With the bookies initially struggling to split the two sides I have backed SRH to maintain their unbeaten record. They are stronger in all departments and are not afraid of playing away from home. I have got both Mumbai matches wrong so far this season backing them when they lost and opposing them when they won. Hopefully it will be third time lucky.
UPDATE 10.04am UK time. There has been interesting moves on the Betfair market for this match. The odds on Mumbai winning went very quickly from around 2.0 to 1.74 and then back out to 2.14 in the space of an hour or so.
The Mumbai line up so far this season consists of Buttler and Parthiv Patel opening with Rohit Sharma playing down the order. Choosing to play two overseas specialist bowlers and Kieron Pollard means that the rest of the top order is predominately Indian.
Buttler has been unlucky in both of the innings he has played being given out LBW. He looks in good touch scoring 66 runs off 41 balls faced. Patel has scored 49 from 41. Mumbai would like one of them to make a big score to set up the innings.
Rohit Sharma was given a horrific decision against KKR. He has so far scored only 5 runs in two innings. Nitish Rana has been in fine form with scores of 34 and 50.
The Mumbai middle order is the strongest in the competition. Krunal Pandya is yet to fire but has a strike rate of 186 in the IPL the last 3 years. Pollard has a 150 strike rate over the same time period and has scores of 27 and 17 so far during this campaign.
The batting of Hardik Pandya has been sensational. 35 from 15 balls in the first match and 29 from 11 from an impossible position to win the game (and cost my bet) in the second.
Lasith Malinga returned to the Mumbai side on Sunday having missed the entire IPL last year. He bowled well taking 2 wickets. He went for 10 an over when Gambhir and Lynn were flying at the start and 16 from 2 at the end. His death bowling is a valuable addition to the Mumbai side.
Harbhajan Singh was economical on his return going at 6.75 an over. Krunal Pandya was expectational taking 3 wickets at 6 an over. Spin was the best option on Sunday with the spinners from both teams bowling very economically. Mumbai have the option of playing Karn Sharma as a third spinner.
Jasprit Bumrah and Mitch McClenaghan took a wicket each at the weekend. Bumrah went for 9.75 an over and McClenaghan 12.75. Having gone for 9 and 12.75 an over it is time for Mumbai to consider replacing McClenaghan with the in form Mitchell Johnson. AWAY TEAM
The Sunrisers batting line-up is untested so far this season. They scored 207 against a weak RCB bowling line up and only had to chase 135 against an even weaker Lions attack on Sunday. They have only lost 5 wickets in two matches.
David Warner was back in form on Sunday. He smashed 76 off 45 balls after scoring 14 from 8 in the first match. His opening partner Dhawan has scored 40 and 9 so far.
Moises Henriques has followed a strong Big Bash in Australia with two half centuries. With Henriques only bowling 3 expensive overs for 32 runs, the temptation will be to replace him with Kane Williamson if his form ever dips. But as the 50s pile up Williamson will have to wait.
No other batters were required to beat the Lions. Yuvraj Singh smashed 62 from 27 balls against RCB with Hooda and Cutting both chipping in with some runs. The line-up looks strong but is likely to be tested more against the much stronger Mumbai attack. Ojha and the bowlers might be required to bat this time.
Pre-season the SRH attack looked the best on paper. It was the best attack in 2016 and it has been added to by the Brilliant Rasid Khan. The Afghan leg-spinner has taken 5 wickets in two matches at an economy rate of 6.9.
Bhuvneshwar Kumar is the third top wicket taker in the tournament on 4. He went for 5.25 an over on Sunday and 6.75 in the first match. Bipul Sharma's spin will be useful at this ground. He bowled 4 overs for 24 runs last time.
Ashish Nehra improved going for 6.75 an over after going at 10.5 in the first match. Ben Cutting has been expensive in both matches going at around ten an over.
The bowlers held a star packed Lion batting line up to 135 runs in 20 overs. Sunrisers coach Tom Moody hinted on Sunday that things could get worse for opponents with possibility of Cricsq top rated T20 bowler Mustafizur Rahman returning for this fixture. If he does Ben Cutting will make way as the overseas player. This will weaken the lower order batting but strengthen the bowling.
If Mustafizur is not ready to play this match will be the opportunity to bring in Mohammad Nabi instead of Cutting. He is the second Afghan signing SRH made in the closed season. His spin bowling will be suited to the Mumbai pitch. He has a T20 economy rate of close to 7 an over and a batting strike rate of around 150 runs per hundred balls.
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