Match 47 IPL 2017 (2017-05-07) @ Mohali (PCAS)
Punjab has won 2 of the 3 previous matches between these 2 sides. Earlier this season Punjab scored 188 in Rajkot and then restricted The Lions to 162 in their 20 overs.
Punjab won their first 2 matches. They then lost 4 matches in a row as they struggled to work out their best batting line-up. They have won 3 of their last 4 matches against teams in the bottom half of the table. They have a chance of qualifying for the play-offs if they keep up their winning streak.
By contrast The Lions have no chance of making the play-offs. They have suffered from injuries of key players all season. Dwayne Bravo was injured at the start of the season and never played for them. Andrew Tye was bowling really well and then got injured. Brendon McCullum is now out of the tournament with a hamstring injury.
Punjab now have a settled side with Shaun Marsh and Martin Guptill joining Amla and Maxwell as the overseas players. The all Indian bowling attack has bowled well recently. Sandeep Sharma and Axar Patel are playing at the top of their game.
8 out of 16 IPL matches played at Mohali since 2014 have been won by the team batting second. This means there is no bias in the pitch favoring the team batting second. The Lions do prefer to bat second. The franchise has won 73% of their matches batting second compared to 8% batting first. Punjab have no preference in recent times.
Punjab are ahead on the Cricsq ratings. They have 85 points compared to The Lions 80 points. Punjab also have all to play for and they do not have injuries to key players. I have backed Punjab to win at an average price of 1.81 on Betfair.
The KXIP batting unit struggled to 138 against RCB. It was enough for their bowlers to defend and win the match.
Hashim Amla and Martin Guptill opened the batting. They were both dismissed for single figures. Amla is Punjab's top run scorer with 316. He has a strike rate of 139. Guptill has now played 3 matches. He has 82 runs with a strike rate of 171.
Shaun Marsh now bats at 3 with Manan Vohra at 4. Vohra opened at the start of the season. He has 204 runs from 8 innings with a strike rate of 143. Marsh has now played 4 matches. He is in good touch with 160 runs with a strike rate of 143.
Maxwell, Saha and Axar Patel play in the middle order. Maxwell played a strange innings against RCB. He scored 6 from 11 balls attempting to hit almost every bay for a boundary. He has 199 in the IPL with a strike rate of 167. Saha has been disappointing scoring just 89 runs in 9 innings.
Axar Patel got Punjab's score up to a defendable total with his 38 off 17 balls against RCB. He took Watson for 19 in the last over of the innings. Patel now has 176 from 9 innings with a strike rate of 149.
Sandeep Sharma is Punjab's leading wicket taker with 14. He has been brilliant in their last 2 matches with 3 for 22 against RCB and 4 for 20 against Delhi. He has an economy rate of 8.3 an over.
Varun Aaron, Mohit Sharma and Natarajan are the other seam bowlers in the side. Aaron has 7 wickets form 5 matches with an economy rate of 7.5. Mohit has 9 wickets and has gone for 8.6 an over. Natarajan has just 1 wicket from 5 matches with an economy rate of 8.3.
Axar Patel is the top spinner for Punjab. He has 13 wickets for the season with an economy rate of 7.3. KC Cariappa has 4 wickets from 4 matches but has not played recently. Glenn Maxwell has bowled himself in 5 matches. He now has 5 wickets with an excellent economy rate of 6.2 an over.
The Lions started the season with 4 overseas opening batsmen in their squad. In the early matches they played all 4. Jason Roy has now returned to England and Brendon McCullum has now left the IPL due to injury. McCullum had opened in every match scoring 319 runs with a strike rate of 147.
Inshan Kishan will have to open with either Aaron Finch or Dwayne Smith. Kishan has 153 runs with a strike rate of 131. Finch has been batting in the middle order for most of the season. He has 226 runs with a strike rate of 166. Smith has been disappointing with the bat scoring just 103 from 9 innings.
Suresh Raina will bat at 3. He is The Lion's top run scorer with 395. He has a strike rate of 145. He shared a partnership of over 100 with Dinesh Karthik in their last match against Delhi. Karthik has 286 runs with a strike rate of 138.
Beyond these 5 players the Lions have no more batsmen in their squad. Ravindra Jadeja will bat at 6 as an all-rounder. He has 118 runs from 7 innings. James Faulkner can also bat a bit but this IPL he only has 32 runs from 4 innings.
The Lion's bowling is also weak. They lost the experienced Dwayne Bravo before the season started. Their top wicket taker is Andrew Tye. He is now also injured after taking 12 wickets in 6 matches.
Basil Thampi is now the leading seamer available. He has 9 wickets form 10 matches with an economy rate of 9 an over. James Faulkner has 4 wickets from 5 matches but has gone at 9.6 an over. Pradeep Sangwan has played in their last 2 matches. He has 3 wickets but has a terrible economy rate of 10.1
In the spin department Ravindra Jadeja has 5 wickets from 9 matches with an economy rate of 9.7. He has been very poor this IPL with the ball. Ankit Soni has been economical going at 6.6 an over but has only taken 2 wickets in 4 matches.
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