Match 52 IPL 2017 (2017-05-12) @ Delhi (FSK)
Pune have won 2 of the 3 matches between these 2 sides. Earlier this season Delhi defeated Pune in Pune. Delhi scored 205 thanks to Sanju Samson's 102 off 63 balls and Chris Morris' blistering 38 from 9 balls at the end of the innings. Delhi then bowled Pune out for 108 thanks to Zaheer Khan and Amit Mishra each taking 3 cheap wickets.
Pune started the season beating Mumbai. They then went through a 3 match losing run. The loss to Delhi was during that run. Pune have won 7 of their last 8 matches and are the form team in the tournament. They have sorted out their bowling attack which has gone from being the most expensive to the most economical in the IPL. All their batsmen have contributed.
Pune has lost Imran Tahir to South African duties. He is their top wicket taker with 18. His loss will be felt in the middle overs if Pune require an aggressive spinner to break a partnership. Delhi have also lost players to South Africa. Chris Morris has missed their last several matches anyway and Rabada has not always been in the side.
Delhi have been inconsistent all season. They won 2 of their first 3 matches. They then lost 5 matches in a row. They have managed to win 3 of their last 4 matches including beating the Sunrisers and the Lions twice. Their bowling has not been great but their top 4 Indian batsmen have started to play fearlessly and chase down big totals.
The Delhi pitch has heavily favored batting second in IPL matches recently. 68% of IPL match since 2014 have been won by the chasing team. This season 3 of the 5 matches have been won by the chasing team. Both teams have performed better chasing since 2014. Delhi have won 24% of matches batting first and 45% of matches batting second. Pune have won 29% batting first and 75% chasing.
In the early odds on Betfair Pune are favorites at 1.85 and Delhi are 2.16. In the Cricsq ratings Pune are rated 104 and Delhi are rated 83. Both teams have lost key South African players but Pune's loss will be greater given the role Tahir has played in the side. Both teams are in good recent form. I have backed Delhi as value bet to win the match.
The Delhi batsmen have been inconsistent all season. They have scored over 200 three and been dismissed for under 70 twice.
Sanju Samson and Karun Nair open the batting. Samson is Delhi's top run scorer with 384 runs with a strike rate of 144. Nair has started to find some form but he is without a big score for the season. He has 191 runs with a strike rate of 120.
Rishabh Pant bats at 3. He has 285 runs with a strike rate of 173. He scored an amazing 97 off 43 in the win against the Lions in Delhi. He has had 2 low scores since. His participation in this match must be in doubt after he damaged his hand wicket-keeping in their last match.
Shreyas Iyer is the final piece of the Indian top quartet. He scored a wonderful 96 off 57 balls in the defeat of the Lions in Kanpur on Wednesday. He now has 303 runs with a strike rate of 145.
The middle order on Wednesday was Samuels, Anderson and Brathwaite. Samuels only has 2 runs from 2 innings. Anderson has 136 runs form 9 innings. Brathwaite has 12 runs from 2 innings. The middle order misses Chris Morris. He scored 154 runs with a strike rate of 164 before he got injured.
Like Pune, Delhi have lost their top wicket taker in Chris Morris. They have also lost Kagiso Rabada who took 6 wickets in 6 matches.
Zaheer Khan leads the seam attack. He has 7 wickets from 9 matches with an economy rate of 8 an over. Pat Cummings has 12 wickets with an economy rate of 8.4 an over. Mohammed Shami has been very expensive going at 9.7 an over.
Corey Anderson and Carlos Brathwaite also bowled seam in their last match. They have both been expensive this season. Brathwaite has an economy rate of 11.2 an over and Anderson has gone at 10.7 an over. I am not sure if Ben Hilfenhaus is still with the squad as he has not played this season. If he is maybe he should be given a game.
Amit Mishra is the main spinner for Delhi. He has 10 wickets but has a poor economy rate for a spinner going at 8.9 an over. Shahbaz Nadeem has only played 5 matches. He has 4 wickets with a decent economy rate of 6.9 an over.
Rahul Tripathi and Ajinkya Rahane open the batting for Pune. Tripathi has 353 runs with an impressive strike rate of 153. Rahane has gone at a more sedate strike rate of 120 and has scored 248 runs.
Steve Smith has batted at 3 with Dhoni coming in at 4. Smith is Pune's top runs scorer with 367. He has a strike rate of 129. Dhoni has been slow at times and only has a strike rate of 114. He has scored 235 runs this season.
The middle order consists of Ben Stokes, Manoj Tiwary and Dan Christian. Stokes' T20 batting has improved massively this IPL. He has 283 runs with a strike rate of 144. Tiwary has a strike rate of 147 and has scored 199 runs. Christian only has 72 runs but has made some valuable contributions when required down the order. He has a strike rate of 164 this IPL.
Jaydev Unadkat leads the seam attack. He has 17 wickets with an economy rate of 7.96. tShardul Thakur has played recently. He has 5 wickets in 6 matches with an economy rate of 8.7 an over.
The overseas all-rounders Stokes and Christian have bowled well this IPL. Stokes has 10 wickets with a decent economy rate of 7.4 an over. Christian has 6 wickets with an even better economy rate of 7.2 an over.
Washington Sundar has now played 7 matches bowling his spinners. He has an economy rate of 7 which is amazing considering as he has been used in the powerplay.
Pune will miss Imran Tahir. His leg spin bowling has taken 18 wickets this season and often has broken partnerships in the middle overs. Pune could replace him with Adam Zampa if they want to replace spin with spin.
Zampa was expensive going at 10.1 an over in the 2 matches he has played. His economy rate in T20 league matches since 2014 is 7.2 and his economy rate in T20 internationals is 6.1. He may just have bowled badly in those 2 IPL matches. Another option is to bring in the pace of Lockie Fergusion. He has 2 wickets from 2 matches with an economy rate of 6.4 an over.
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