1st Qualifying Final IPL 2017 (2017-05-16) @ Mumbai (WS)
Pune have won 3 of the 4 matches between these 2 sides. This includes both of matches this season.
In their first match of the season in Pune, Mumbai batted first and scored 184. Pune chased this down thanks to Steve Smith scoring a brilliant 84 off 54 balls. In Mumbai for the return match Pune batted first. Their openers got them off to a good start but they then stumbled to 160. They then bowled brilliantly to restrict Mumbai to 157.
Mumbai won 10 and lost 4 matches in the league stages. They finished top of the league on 20 points. After losing to Pune in their first match they won 6 matches in a row. Then they lost to Pune again before taking the points in their next 3 matches. They then lost 2 matches and finally beat KKR with a team that contained 5 changes.
The team was largely unchanged for most of the season. Once qualification was assured they replaced Jos Buttler with Lendl Simmons. This was because Buttler would not be available for the play-offs. The team is very well balanced with 5 batsmen, the Pandya brothers as the 2 all-rounders and 4 bowlers. Every player appears to know their role.
The team lacked energy after qualification was assured and lost 2 matches. In their last match against KKR, Mahela Jayawardene made 5 changes to the side. The team won against a full strength KKR side and some of those players will be pressing for places in the play-off side.
Pune started the season beating Mumbai. They then lost 3 matches in a row. Since then they have won 8 out of 10 matches.
They have the most economical bowling side in the competition. They have had a stable side. Their batting can be slow scoring at times with 3 of their top 6 batsmen scoring at under 130 runs per hundred balls.
Pune will be missing Ben Stokes for the play-offs. He is a key player for the side. He has scored 316 runs with a strike run of 143. He has also taken 12 wickets with an economy rate of 7.2. Unlike when Pune lost Imran Tahir, there is no obvious replacement for Stokes.
52% of matches played at Mumbai since 2014 have been won by the chasing team. This IPL season 4 of the 7 matches have been won by the chasing team. However, 3 of the last 4 have been won by the team batting first. This implies that dew has become less of a factor as the Indian summer has progressed.
Pune are ahead on the Cricsq rating due to Mumbai's slump in form at the end of the League stages. Pune have 105 points and Mumbai have 99. Mumbai are at home which gives them an advantage. They have won 5 from 7 at home this season. I have backed Pune as the value bet at 2.28 on Betfair.
Lendl Simmons and Saurabh Tiwary opened the batting against KKR on Saturday. Tiwary scored 52 off 43 balls. Simmons was out for a 5th ball duck. Ambati Rayudu also scored runs in that match and kept wicket. They are both unlikely to play as Parthiv Patel and Nitish Rana will probably return to the side.
Simmons has 126 runs from 4 matches. He has a scored 2 fifties and 2 low scores. His strike rate is 148. Parthiv Patel was rested last match. He keeps wicket and opens the batting. He has 325 runs with a strike rate of 136.
Nitish Rana usually bats at 3. He has 333 runs with a strike rate of 126. He started the season well but his form has tailed off. His place could be under pressure from Rayudu who scored 63 off 37 balls against KKR.
Rohit Sharma has been batting at 3 or 4 this season. He has 282 runs with a strike rate of 125. His form has improved after a slow start to the season.
The Mumbai middle order consists of Pollard and the Pandya brothers. Pollard is Mumbai's top run scorer with 362. He has a strike rate of 141. Hardik Pandya has played in every match. He has 226 runs with a strike rate of 160. Krunal Pandya returned from injury against KKR. He has 136 runs from 8 innings with a strike rate of 136.
Mitchell McClenaghan is Mumbai's lead wicket taker with 18. He has been expensive going at 9.2 an over. He usually opens the bowling with Lasith Malinga. Malinga has 9 wickets from 9 matches but has been very expensive going at 9.5. an over.
Mitchell Johnson played against KKR and returned 1 for 30 off 4 overs. He has only played 3 matches but has been much more economical than Malinga going at 7.2 an over. He might be considered as the second overseas seamer in the play-offs.
The Indian seamers are Jasprit Bumrah and Hardik Pandya. Bumrah has 15 wickets and has only gone for 7.8 an over. This is partically good as he usually bowls at the death. Hardik does not always bowl. He has 6 wickets with an economy rate of 8.1. He took 2 for 22 off 4 overs against KKR in a match winning performance for Mumbai.
Krunal Pandya is back from injury. His spinners have taken 10 wickets with an economy rate of 6.7 an over. Harbhajan Singh has 5 wickets with an economy rate of 6.5. Karn Sharma has bowled his leg spin in 6 matches. He has 8 wickets but has been more expensive going at 8.1 an over.
Rahul Tripathi and Ajinkya Rahane open the batting for Pune. Tripathi has been brilliant scoring 388 runs in 12 innings. He has a strike rate of 151. Rahane has been disappointing scoring 282 runs with a slow strike rate of 116.
Steve Smith bats at 3 and Dhoni bats at 4. Smith is Pune's top run scorer with 420. His strike rate is quite low at 125. Dhoni has been even slower with a strike rate of 114. He has scored 240 runs.
Manoj Tiwary and Dan Christian have been batting in the middle order. Tiwary has 259 runs from 11 innings. He has a strike rate of 144. Christian has only had 8 opportunities to bat. He has 75 runs with a strike rate of 160.
Ben Stokes will be missing from the Pune middle order as he has had to return to England. He has 316 runs with a strike rate of 143. They will also miss his bowling. Pune have no all-rounder to replace him with. If they choose to replace him with a batsmen the only option is Mayank Agarwal. He has 26 runs from 3 matches with a strike rate of just 96.
Pune have been the most economical bowling team in this IPL. They have now unfortunately lost 2 of their top 3 wicket takers. Imran Tahir took 18 wickets and Ben Stokes took 12. They have both now departed for International duties.
Jaydev Unadkat is Pune's leading wicket taker with 21. He has an economy rate of 7.6. Shardul Thakur also bowls seam. He has 8 wickets from 10 matches and has gone at 8.4 an over.
Dan Christian has bowled well. He has picked up 9 wickets with a very good economy rate of 7.2 runs an over. Pune have the option of bringing in Lockie Ferguson to replace Ben Stokes. He has only played 2 matches. In his last appearance he took 2 for 7 in his 4 overs against RCB.
Adam Zampa has come in to replace Tahir bowling leg spin for the last 2 matches. He took 1 for 29 against Delhi and 2 for 22 against Punjab. Washington Sundar is the second spinner. He has 5 wickets from 8 matches. He has an economy rate of 7.1 an over.
Cricket Betting Bookmakers